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Vance: US-Iran Conflict Enters New Phase Within Two Months
US Vice President J.D. Vance confirmed the US-Iran conflict will shift to a new phase within two months, aligning with President Trump's assertion that the conflict will end soon. Vance noted the US has completed an initial phase targeting Iran's nuclear and conventional military capabilities and is not conducting offensive operations.
Quick Facts
- US-Iran conflict to enter new phase
- First phase focused on destroying Iran's nuclear program and conventional military
- US not engaging in offensive operations
- Iran losing control of Strait of Hormuz
- Oil prices expected to drop after conflict ends
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US Vice President J.D. Vance stated on September 15 that the conflict between the United States and Iran will enter a "completely different phase" within two months, according to an interview with the New York Post conducted aboard Air Force 2. Vance aligned his assessment with President Donald Trump's previous statements that the conflict will end soon, noting that Trump, as commander-in-chief, determines when conflicts begin and end.
Vance indicated that the United States has completed an initial phase focused on destroying Iran's nuclear program and conventional military capabilities. He emphasized that the US is not currently engaged in offensive operations, characterizing the present posture as defensive rather than aggressive. According to Vance, Iran will continue losing control of the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global shipping chokepoint, with cargo traffic through the waterway having returned to more than 50% of normal levels.
President Trump separately stated on Truth Social that oil prices will "crash" once the military conflict with Iran ends, which he predicted would occur soon. Trump also asserted that his administration has prevented Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons, and attributed previous oil price increases to policies under the Biden administration. Trump previously indicated the conflict could end around the time of US congressional midterm elections in November, or potentially before.
Why This Matters
US and Iran officials have stated publicly that military operations are shifting. The stated timeline—new phase within two months from mid-September—establishes a measurable policy inflection point. The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly 20% of global oil exports; current statements indicate reduced Iranian control. Oil price forecasts tied to conflict resolution affect global energy markets and downstream consumer costs. Key variables remain: what the new phase entails, Iran's response, and effects on shipping and energy supply.
Timeline & Sources
Sep 15, 2026
WireVance states US-Iran conflict will enter new phase within two months; Trump predicts oil prices will crash after conflict ends
Nov 17, 2026
WireApproximate two-month mark from mid-September for new conflict phase to begin
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