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Iran Deal Leaves Major Questions on Nuclear Program and Regional Issues, Says Political Risk Expert

Political risk expert Livia Paggi cautioned that President Trump's Iran deal, though welcomed by markets for lower oil prices and secured shipping, leaves major unresolved questions on Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, ballistic missiles, and Israel's regional security.
Quick Facts
Who
Livia Paggi
What
President Trump's Iran deal
When
2026-06-18
Where
Iran
- President Trump's Iran deal
- Markets welcomed lower oil prices
- Strait of Hormuz remains open
- Unresolved questions on Iran's nuclear program
- Unresolved questions on sanctions relief
Livia Paggi, Senior Managing Director and Head of Political Risk at J.S. Held, discussed President Trump's Iran deal on Bloomberg Open Interest, highlighting both positive market reactions and significant unresolved concerns. Markets initially responded positively to the agreement, welcoming lower oil prices and assurances regarding an open Strait of Hormuz, which are critical for global energy security and trade flows.
However, Paggi warned that the deal leaves fundamental questions unanswered on several key issues. These include Iran's nuclear program—the original focus of previous negotiations—the scope and terms of sanctions relief for Iran, the country's ballistic missile capabilities, and Israel's security concerns regarding Iran's influence in Lebanon. The expert's assessment suggests that while the agreement addresses immediate market concerns, it may not fully resolve the strategic and security issues that have been central to US-Iran relations.
Why This Matters
This deal has immediate market implications—lower oil prices and assured shipping through the Strait of Hormuz benefit global energy security and trade. However, unresolved questions on Iran's nuclear capabilities, ballistic missiles, and regional proxy activities create ongoing geopolitical risk. For investors and policymakers, this signals that while near-term commodity and shipping concerns are addressed, longer-term strategic uncertainty around Iran's military programs and regional influence remains a critical monitoring point.
Timeline & Sources
Jun 18, 2026
WireLivia Paggi discusses Trump's Iran deal on Bloomberg Open Interest, highlighting market reception and unresolved concerns