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Jun 19, 20261
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Bank of Canada Can Let Loonie Weaken and Skip Rate Hikes, BofA Says

Bank of America forecasts that the Bank of Canada will keep interest rates unchanged through most of 2027 and permit the Canadian dollar to weaken further, even amid potentially tighter US monetary policy.
Quick Facts
Who
Bank of America
What
Forecast for interest rate policy
When
Through most of 2027
Where
Canada
- Forecast for interest rate policy
- Assessment of Canadian dollar weakness
- Analysis of monetary policy stance
- Bank of America
- Bank of Canada
Bank of America has suggested that the Bank of Canada can afford to maintain its current monetary policy stance while allowing the Canadian dollar to depreciate further, even if the United States pursues tighter monetary conditions. According to BofA's analysis, the central bank is likely to keep interest rates on hold through most of 2027, prioritizing domestic economic conditions over currency stability. This forecast reflects expectations that the Bank of Canada will maintain a more accommodative policy approach relative to potential US rate increases. The assessment suggests that currency weakness may be an acceptable trade-off for the Bank of Canada as it navigates economic conditions without implementing rate hikes during the projected period.
Why This Matters
This analysis signals that the Bank of Canada is expected to keep interest rates low, making the Canadian dollar less attractive. For investors and businesses exposed to CAD exchange rates, this implies a sustained weaker loonie against the USD. Companies importing from or exporting to Canada should adjust their currency hedging strategies accordingly. Borrowers with Canadian-dollar loans could benefit from stable borrowing costs, while exporters to the US may see a competitive advantage from a weaker Canadian currency.
Timeline & Sources
Jun 19, 2026
WireBank of America publishes analysis on Bank of Canada monetary policy outlook
Jan 1, 2027
WirePeriod during which Bank of Canada expected to maintain rates on hold