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Jun 18, 20261
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Robinhood Opens Prediction Market on Tommy Paul vs Van de Zandschulp Tennis Match
Robinhood has launched a prediction market for the June 18, 2026 ATP London Round of 16 tennis match between Tommy Paul and Botic Van de Zandschulp, with contracts based on the game spread differential. Market pricing suggests Paul is favored to win by a significant margin.
Quick Facts
Who
Tommy Paul
What
Prediction market launched for professional tennis match
When
June 18, 2026
Where
ATP London Round of 16
- Prediction market launched for professional tennis match
- Game spread contracts trading
- Market resolves based on final game differential
- Contingency provisions for injury, cancellation, or postponement
- Tommy Paul
Robinhood has launched a prediction market for the ATP London Round of 16 tennis match between American player Tommy Paul and Dutch player Botic Van de Zandschulp, scheduled for June 18, 2026. The market focuses on the game spread differential, with traders able to speculate on the final margin of victory across the full match.
The prediction market offers three contract options: Tommy Paul winning by 3.5 games or more (trading at 50¢), Van de Zandschulp winning by 1.5 games or more (trading at 0¢), and Tommy Paul winning by 6.5 games or more (trading at 0¢). The pricing suggests market participants favor a Paul victory with a significant margin. Trading is available 24 hours a day, except for Thursday mornings between 3 and 5 a.m. ET, and contracts typically resolve within one hour of match completion.
The market includes standard provisions for contingencies. Should the match be cancelled due to player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or other circumstances before play begins, the market will resolve to a fair price. If the match is postponed, the market remains open and closes after rescheduling, within two weeks of the original date. In cases of player retirement, markets are settled based on unconditionally determined outcomes from completed play, with unresolvable markets reverting to fair market price at the exchange's discretion.
Robinhood enforces strict trading restrictions to maintain market integrity. Current and former players, coaches, and staff of governing bodies are prohibited from trading, as are league employees, team owners, and their immediate family members. Individuals with material non-public information are also barred from participation. Traders receive a $1 payout for each contract owned if their prediction is correct, or may close positions before event resolution.
Topics
Why This Matters
This event demonstrates the expansion of regulated prediction markets into sports outcomes, reflecting a broader shift toward event-based derivatives trading. For traders and sports enthusiasts, it represents new opportunities to monetize sports analysis and predictions through a regulated platform. For regulators, it highlights the growing integration of prediction markets into mainstream financial infrastructure and the importance of robust safeguards—such as insider trading prohibitions and contingency protocols—to maintain market integrity in event-driven instruments.
Timeline & Sources
Jun 18, 2026
WireATP London Round of 16 match between Tommy Paul and Botic Van de Zandschulp scheduled
Jun 18, 2026
WireRobinhood publishes prediction market with initial contract prices
Jun 18, 2026
WireMatch completes and market resolves